Federal
Deficits and the
National Debt
1791-1929
Part I
What
is a Deficit?
A
deficit arises when government
expenditures exceed the revenues, the government collects mainly
through taxes,
but customs duties, federal land sales and other fees may also be
included. A budget surplus is exactly the opposite, it arises
when
government revenues exceed expenditures. Our national debt, the
debt
incurred by the federal government, which is approaching
eight trillion dollars, is the accumulation of the annual deficits
minus the annual surpluses, since the beginning of the Republic,
essentially since
1791.
Fiscal
Policy:
Throughout the nineteenth century and
up
through 1929, the federal government's fiscal policies- the
policies of
collecting revenues and spending them-
were quite different than they
have been
since. In the period, from 1791 to 1929, the United States
government followed,
what economic historians refer to as the old fiscal religion.
This
practice meant that in bad economic times, when government revenues
were
insufficient, or during periods of war, the government would borrow
from the public to cover the shortfall. In times
when the government had a surplus, a certain part of the national debt
would be
retired, i.e., paid off. However, the crash of the stock market in
October 1929
and the Great
Depression that followed,
changed the role of the government in this country.
Government
Finance Before 1930:
Prior
to 1914, there were no
permanent
federal income taxes, thus the sources of revenues were
essentially
limited to customs duties and federal land sales. Excise and
property taxes
were also imposed, but revenue collections proved insignificant.
During
the
Civil War (1861-1865), Congress approved an income tax on incomes over
$5,000 and a inheritance tax.
Due to budget surpluses after the war, these taxes were later removed.
As shown in Graph1,
between 1791-1861 the government attempted to live within its
means. After the War of 1812, the national debt began to fall
until
in 1835 it reached a mere $33.7 thousand dollars. The following
years,
the national debt began to rise again, especially during the Mexican
American
War. In 1862, right after the start of the Civil War, the national
debt reached , for the first time, over half a billion dollars.
In
subsequent
Civil War years the debt rose even more sharply and in
1866 it had reached
almost $3.0
billion.
Through
the 1880s and early
1890s the national debt fell to about $1.6 billion in 1893.
However, toward the latter 1890s, increased budget deficits insured
that the debt increased again. The Presidents, McKinley, Roosevelt,
Taft and Wilson expanded the role of
the federal government domestically and internationally. For example,
America became involved in a dispute between Spain and Cuba which led
to the Spanish American War (1898-1889), at a cost of about $250
million.
Additionally, President Roosevelt
initiated the construction of the
Panama Canal.
After
the
passage
of the 16th amendment, which
made the levying of federal income taxes constitutional, revenues increased
sharply. However, they were
insufficient to
pay for America's
costs of World War I and government borrowing increased to levels not
seen before. By 1919, the national debt had risen to
about $27.4
billion. However, Graph2
clearly shows that even after the passage of the income tax
amendment, the government essentially followed the old fiscal religion. From the end
of WW I to the crash of the market in 1929, $10.0 billion of the
outstanding debt was repaid. The country entered the Great
Depressions and the era of the New Deal
with a
debt of $16.9 billion.
The practice of the old fiscal
religion
had another important benefit. Statistics show that between
1800-1929
the purchasing power of the US dollar, as measured by the price index
remained
stable. As most readers know, the same cannot be said about the
policies since the 1930s.
The period from 1800 to 1929 was
characterized by
rapid economic expansion, numerous financial crisis and recessions
During these periods the price level increased, but it also declined.
In
the 19th century, the longest period
of deflation
occurred after the Civil War. Between 1867 to 1879, the
economy
grew at a rate of 6.8% and the price level fell by 3.8% per year.
In the
period from 1879 to 1897, prices fell about 1% per year while
the
economy grew at rate of about 3.7%.
The last financial crisis prior to the
1929 crash occurred in 1907. The
crisis was accompanied by bank failures and a sharp reduction in
output and
employment. The 1907 panic led to the formation of the Aldrich
Commission by Congress.
The Commission's task was to study the feasibility of establishing a
Central Bank, to be fashioned after the Bank of England. The
Commission's
recommendation, while generally ignored by Congress, was to establish one
Central Bank. However, the
passage of the Federal Reserve Act in 1913, provided for the creation
of the Federal
Reserve System consisting of twelve Federal Reserve Banks, located in
different parts of the country. Finally, after 77 years America had
established another Central Bank, which opened its doors for the first
time January 1, 1914.
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